Conditional probability is the likelihood of an event occurring based on the occurrence of an earlier event. The second event is dependent on the first event.

The multinomial distribution is a type of probability distribution used in finance to determine the likelihood of a certain set of outcomes.

Stephen C. Hora, Probability Judgments for Continuous Quantities: Linear Combinations and Calibration, Management Science, Vol. 50, No. 5 (May, 2004), pp. 597-604 ...

You construct a generalized linear model by deciding on response and explanatory variables for your data and choosing an appropriate link function and response probability distribution. Some examples ...